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<!--StartFragment--><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><b><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">Prospects for Peace and Stability in Two Sudans</span></b><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:Helvetica"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><b><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">Dr. Alexander de Waal</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">Executive Director, World Peace Foundation<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">Fletcher School, Tufts University<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">October 25, 2011<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">4:30-6:30pm<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">E51-395 (Tang Center, 70 Memorial Drive)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">For more information:&nbsp;<a href="http://web.mit.edu/cis/bustani/"><span style="color:#0040A0">http://web.mit.edu/cis/bustani/</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><b><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">Abstract:&nbsp;</span></b><span style="font-family:Helvetica;
mso-bidi-font-family:Helvetica"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:12.0pt;line-height:13.0pt;mso-pagination:
none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:
Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:Helvetica">When the ruling parties in northern
and southern Sudan began negotiations on post-referendum arrangements in
mid-2010, they committed themselves to an overriding principle of establishing
constructive and peaceful relations between northern and southern Sudan which
will promote the viability of both states. Since the independence of South
Sudan on July 9, 2011, this principle is not being pursued, and the two
governments are seeking to weaken one another. While each is seeking
negotiating advantage, they are also driven by a reciprocal sense of
vengefulness for past wrongs. International mediation efforts to reach
agreement on financial arrangements for oil resources that are extracted in the
south but pumped to market through the north, on the disputed area of Abyei, on
a border management mechanism, on transitional arrangements for currency, and
on the citizenship and residency rights of people from the south living in the
north and vice versa, are achieving little success. Meanwhile, armed conflict
has erupted in the northern states of Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile. The risk
is that, should they fail to cooperate, both Sudan and South Sudan will find
themselves ungovernable.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none"><b><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica">Bio:&nbsp;</span></b><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none">Alexander de Waal is Executive Director of the World Peace
Foundation, and a research professor at the Fletcher School, Tufts University.
Formerly he was program director at the Social Science Research Council, fellow
at the Harvard Humanitarian Initiative, director of Justice Africa, and also
acted as regional advisor (on the Horn of Africa) to SSRC’s Conflict Prevention
and Peace Forum. He has served as senior advisor to the African Union on Sudan.</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none;
text-autospace:none">de Waal received a D.Phil. from Oxford in 1988, has published
eleven books, has been listed as one of the “100 top public intellectuals” by
Prospect and “27 brave thinkers” by Atlantic Monthly. He has published two
books in the African Arguments series – Darfur: A New History of a Long War
(with Julie Flint), and AIDS and Power: Why There is No Political Crisis—Yet.</p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:19.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><b><span style="font-family: Helvetica; ">Seminars will be held in MIT building E51, 70
Memorial Drive, Cambridge. &nbsp;</span></b><span style="font-family:Helvetica;
mso-bidi-font-family:Helvetica"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:19.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family:Helvetica;mso-bidi-font-family:
Helvetica"><a href="http://whereis.mit.edu/?go=E51"><span style="color: rgb(0, 64, 160); ">http://whereis.mit.edu/?go=E51</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:19.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none">Emile Bustani Middle East Seminar:&nbsp;<a href="http://web.mit.edu/cis/bustani/"><span style="color: rgb(0, 64, 160); ">http://web.mit.edu/cis/bustani/</span></a></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:19.0pt;mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:
none;text-autospace:none">For more information:&nbsp;</p><div>Stacy Pyron</div><div><a href="mailto:stacyp@mit.edu">stacyp@mit.edu</a></div><div>617-253-4003</div><p class="MsoNormal"><br></p></body></html>